Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.335573 3.730344 4.158134 4.656945 5.223597 5.848451 6.591240
2024-11-03 2.776992 3.304561 3.917121 4.683977 5.622562 6.739282 8.176547
2024-11-10 2.466178 3.074882 3.819545 4.804006 6.080825 7.693759 9.906018
2024-11-17 2.209719 2.860094 3.689927 4.836776 6.396876 8.468397 11.466137
2024-11-24 2.010833 2.686728 3.580667 4.864275 6.684332 9.209089 13.040708
2024-12-01 1.848072 2.539126 3.482510 4.883918 6.946140 9.922037 14.638448
2024-12-08 1.672165 2.353452 3.309361 4.772075 6.995833 10.318935 15.793496
2024-12-15 1.547899 2.228015 3.207061 4.747521 7.162873 10.894512 17.275097
2024-12-22 1.434354 2.107285 3.098972 4.699845 7.282636 11.398669 18.686576
2024-12-29 1.392990 2.090077 3.142522 4.887282 7.787372 12.562096 21.334536
2025-01-05 1.312096 2.004952 3.073223 4.885849 7.978635 13.219288 23.169734
2025-01-12 1.233666 1.917292 2.992138 4.855957 8.115243 13.790229 24.907754
2025-01-19 1.112542 1.754702 2.781707 4.596761 7.840166 13.624901 25.277324
2025-01-26 1.055199 1.692181 2.730756 4.606384 8.041876 14.340689 27.443426
2025-02-02 1.022086 1.667157 2.739898 4.720793 8.442924 15.465845 30.574985
2025-02-09 0.977294 1.618873 2.705158 4.752263 8.690102 16.319515 33.255523
2025-02-16 0.935468 1.572593 2.670067 4.779095 8.929039 17.178963 36.061551
2025-02-23 0.895803 1.527259 2.633035 4.798329 9.153215 18.029374 38.961530
2025-03-02 0.840385 1.450171 2.533224 4.688667 9.106630 18.308997 40.585304
2025-03-09 0.801457 1.400366 2.479815 4.664591 9.232082 18.964936 43.183877
2025-03-16 0.762356 1.347792 2.417656 4.617844 9.304773 19.511459 45.590391
2025-03-23 0.755382 1.354469 2.467684 4.801620 9.888191 21.262726 51.285259
2025-03-30 0.725900 1.316715 2.429634 4.800215 10.064766 22.098737 54.733959